What is Expected from Israel, Before the End of October?
This article may dissatisfy some readers. October is the month of surprises. The threat of Israel to decapitate the nuclear arsenal of Iran does not come as a result of Israeli arrogance. Taken into consideration the recent Jewish historical experience of agony of the Holocaust as well as the (rhetoric) threat of destroying the Jewish dream State.
October 1973, Israel was surprised Thirty nine years ago, on 6 October 1973 at 2:00 p.m. (Cairo time), Egyptian and Syrian forces launched coordinated attacks on Israeli forces in the Sinai and the Golan Heights. Known variously as the October War or the Yom Kippur War. This nightmare will not come again, while Israel waiting to be destroyed.
You cannot tell many times, someone that you will destroy him, or the personal level, and expect from her/him to stay cool waiting for destruction. It is therefore, common sense to do something to disable those who posed that threat upon your security, safety and survival.
What is expected, then, is taking the chances, which October usually gives. Circumstances are supporting the action, for example, the absence of American decision-making power, waiting for the re-elected or new president.
Israel is not as many people including this writer (A Palestinian born) ONLY like to destroy historical Palestine as it was doing through the past seven decades, but in the same time Israel seems more interested to protect itself as an achieved State. The later may encourage Israel as a factor to take action. For Israel, it is better to be alive and well, rather than being dead, This is a real nightmare, not only philosophical imagination. Think of it, on both levels individual or state. Afterall, security issue for Israel is red line. But this time, the line is very thick.
Expected, though, More than half of the Arab states, I believe will stand against Iran for two reasons: After the Arab (spring) they cannot stand beside Israel, while they are Sunni’s against Shi’ah, they will stand against Iran. In both cases, Israel doesn’t give a damn for supporters or rejecters of its action. Russia and America and Europe are rational states. Gaza Strip was under siege before the end of 2008 and portion of January 2009, no one interfered. The same as Lebanon, at 2006. Israel’s security is not a Joke as some may believe, especially in Iran and its forces elsewhere.
What reduces such chances of attack, however, is Iran itself, of course. It has two options, may be not too late, to surrender to the The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and cooperate completely with its instruction, or, to announce withdrawal of its threat to Israel by giving assurances (overtly or covertly) for Israel security from destruction.
If all the options to solve the conflict come to fruitless end, Israel should not be blamed for defending itself. Even though, it is perceived as occupying Palestine illegally.
The consequences of the attack (Through the next three months), however, may be speculated to benefit in quadrable projections on the bright side for Israel:
1. Israel image will enhance Jewish solidarity worldwide, and admiration of Israel as protector of Jews interest , which may increase migration into Israel.
2. Israel will be more considered as a neighbo-friend rather a foe, from Arabs. and;
3. Israel will seriously (through the Fundamentalist Jews pressure) consider rebuilding Solomon Temple, next to the Holy Rock, souuthbound, where there is a wide empty space, or destroy the Muslim site and replace it.
4. In the process, it might destroy points of danger, Hizbullah (North) and (Hamas)South, as well as taking West Bank as part of Israel, and give them Israeli citizenship.
** The writer is Hasan Yahya, Former Professor of Comparative Sociology, with two Ph.D degrees from Michigan State University, Graduated, 1988, 1991.
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